|
|
Post by ysguy on Mar 17, 2015 12:01:21 GMT -8
I have this competitive CBS h2h league I am in. Points league (ie...wins =10, holds = 4, saves = 6 etc...)
The Top 300 players per Scott White and Melchior look like roto ranks. Then, when I look at Player projections for my league there is a totally skewed ranking toward SP early. Kind of makes sense. In the Top 300 Kershaw is fourth. In the Player ranks for league scoring he is top dog by a mile. Same player ranks have Brett feakin Cecil as a third rounder (I omitted all keepers).
In our upcoming draft I have #2 and am looking at Miggy/Kershaw. But the Player rank say Scherzer is the pick.
Would you guys simply use common sense or go with point projections?
|
|
|
|
Post by pogotheostrich on Mar 18, 2015 12:39:54 GMT -8
I wouldn't worry so much about the projections. Everyone has their own ideas on how players will perform. That said you have to take the scoring system into account. If it is highly weighted to SP then I would take the best SP.
|
|
|
|
Post by element on Mar 18, 2015 14:05:58 GMT -8
1. Export projections from CBS or your preferred source, into Excel. You can find a ton of them at fantasyrundown.com (Baseball > 2015 Projections)
Note: Add both pitchers and position players to the same sheet.
2. Create new columns for all of your categories with formulas based on the projections used (example; =Wins*10; =Saves*6). Create a column that SUMS and total.
Now that you have an ideas as to how many total points each player would score in your format we can take it step further to determine how players compare to other that play a different position (pitchers versus catchers for example).
3. Create new column called X# or whatever next to your total SUM points.
4. Try to figure out how many players will be started at each position. You may need some guess work if you use MI, CI and/or UT spots.
5. Let's say that only 12 catchers get drafted. Filter by position so that you can see only the catchers. Find the total score of the 13th ranked catcher. Let's just say that it is 200. Your formula for the top ranked catcher down will be the total sum of points minus the replacement player (200 points).
Repeat this for each position from what you believe to be the least scarce to the most (in the event that you have players with multi-position elgibility) until all players have a formula.
Now you have a sort-able value that can help you compare positions (apples to oranges).
It's not the end off, of course, but it should help give you an idea of where some hidden value is. I use this in my football leagues and sometimes notice that there are 20 QB's ranked inside of the top 60 players. I'm not drafting a QB early! I don't play points-based baseball, but the same rules apply.
|
|
